Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 6.874760e-01 0.883033 1.103245 1.366639 1.670186 2.006247 2.403608
2025-05-18 4.243184e-01 0.668407 0.979142 1.390121 1.906023 2.519624 3.291777
2025-05-25 2.457025e-01 0.489042 0.842273 1.357119 2.054501 2.934935 4.098588
2025-06-01 1.622538e-01 0.406090 0.804948 1.434935 2.339796 3.532992 5.165086
2025-06-08 9.629086e-02 0.317925 0.732141 1.442155 2.520760 4.000821 6.087693
2025-06-15 6.589702e-02 0.280178 0.727975 1.545479 2.839225 4.664880 7.293077
2025-06-22 4.156205e-02 0.238607 0.703469 1.607670 3.095969 5.251669 8.414408
2025-06-29 2.365653e-02 0.197012 0.664906 1.636115 3.297441 5.764243 9.448036
2025-07-06 1.052858e-02 0.150873 0.599363 1.602471 3.392221 6.120788 10.271371
2025-07-13 4.771159e-03 0.124035 0.568274 1.625558 3.576208 6.611390 11.293563
2025-07-20 1.715439e-03 0.100873 0.536763 1.640681 3.743929 7.079828 12.293025
2025-07-27 2.438605e-04 0.074481 0.482045 1.596610 3.802452 7.379243 13.051830
2025-08-03 2.158086e-07 0.051950 0.425811 1.540309 3.837462 7.648887 13.785321
2025-08-10 NaN 0.040016 0.400298 1.549490 3.991342 8.111501 14.817409
2025-08-17 NaN 0.026970 0.356881 1.505656 4.040489 8.405540 15.602868
2025-08-24 NaN 0.023766 0.361208 1.584723 4.330209 9.100300 17.009785
2025-08-31 NaN 0.017422 0.339608 1.590144 4.474415 9.558079 18.063539
2025-09-07 NaN 0.016537 0.354571 1.699291 4.830960 10.378328 19.688472
2025-09-14 NaN 0.014023 0.354464 1.764967 5.101959 11.060875 21.111697
2025-09-21 NaN 0.010755 0.342910 1.794938 5.300578 11.625275 22.360583
2025-09-28 NaN 0.006605 0.311731 1.758902 5.358669 11.950483 23.240972
2025-10-05 NaN 0.004726 0.300601 1.783414 5.544678 12.498615 24.478544
2025-10-12 NaN 0.003182 0.287764 1.799478 5.712112 13.016892 25.675158